1080 The Fan>Audio & Video on Demand>>Dirt & Sprague, Wednesday 3-15-17 Hour 2

Dirt & Sprague, Wednesday 3-15-17 Hour 2

Mar 15, 2017|

The guys get the latest on the Ducks with Jerry Allen, wonder what the greatest Oregon NCAA Tournament moment is, and Rob Pizzola of predictionmachine.com helps fill our your bracket.

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Automatically Generated Transcript (may not be 100% accurate)

Pay its break here really appreciate you listening about to get some podcast excellence is presented by less Schwab tires doing the right thing since 1952. Are highly compensated brackets consultants are here. I don't even really care. Wherever they put us hopefully the same. And that has played in this tournament shows up there because as we all know it can end. Rick this is determined origination of dirt and spray. Brought you back up we go market need a local lender who specializes in PA down after the markets can help. They come markets dot com to. And spray gun. I welcome back in second hour third straight year on 1080 the fan happy hump day get everybody out there let's talk some NCAA tournament organ dot basketball. With our good friend and voice of the organ ducks Geri Allen find him on Twitter act voice of the ducks. Go gimbal follow the ducks take on Iona. On Friday at 11 AM I Gerri good to have you on the show thanks for taken a couple of minutes and notes are really busy week for yet. I I just wanna start with a two part of first what season is this for you calling duct basketball. Are due to be my thirtieth year which is incredible. Okay so this year's 33 you is this the best team win healthy you've ever seen. Cannot recording question do you we have a couple of big leaky run with Luke Ridnour objection Freddie challenged. You know that was a that was a pretty good ball club. You act beyond assessing this woman is the best. Tent at Chris and are so being upset in the accident Crist who shape the state the and they've admitted he brought to the final score in maybe one chipped chipped and I would definitely say beyond a shadow of doubt this was the that's the it's going to be up close and Dana's got it deep that you got seven or had seven true starter on this change Google because of the depth and the lateral play and I I'd put this team on top. Well and before we look peak you know further into this run again against silent I do I take one other step back and and I'm just curious what's your favorite tournament memory and then you mention you mean colonies gains of thirty years the elite eight runs is there one moment for you and determined that stands out above the rest. Walk through practice surprise we've been through the win over over duke clashed year. But you know that says that storied program that. In India anytime you can take out a program like debt at the end interpret tablet winning and then it's like a lot of the member number but feel that way to tough at that that that's a great all auctioned shouldn't. Jim happiness decided not that would it was cool to be it will be program that was sort storage attic were clutch. We're talking with the voice of the organ ducks in Geri Allen on Twitter at voice of the docs. They get the three seed in the midwest region. What do you think about the region that they got slotted in. You know it's OK I understand. I think Oregon body of pork what they accomplished all year in the cup the the top tree and act Walt probably deserved to. I think I know what do they wanna cry security committee looks at is debatable body oust. A strong UT news so what's changed. Negotiate out I think they're quite look that babysit you know guys. Arizona's probably got a better chance they're told strict you'll further still. Well let's give them a little easier ride not I'm not really an. Yeah I mean the ducks get start out sacramental and developed a little bit black student in probably had a planet can't just seem that happens. But beyond Tokai you know all but released straight to number you know he would eat your record got to play and where their play. Routines are not good teams and some terms were not so good teams play great solution disputed curb your best basketball when your reply. Yeah an Indian and they almost talked a lot in the last few days about the Boucher injury you mention it's and almost like he has to go back to the drawing board just a little bet it did change things up dramatically. Without Boucher and how different do you expect this team to look. On third or Friday sees Maine are without Chris Boucher and lineup. Loveable look is drastically different because everybody believes. That it really. Great year you resistor rim protector and blogger Pete shots but but he didn't have a consistency every game and social club general. If it was as big a threat I think cabal Bigby Williams who primarily because I shot blocker to eat stated they had. Is much opportunity indeed gotten better throughout the year the biggest thing he doesn't present. He is that outside shooting them the Christmas you know a cup match up for a lot of teams because he can play inside and out. I could melt still shoots pretty good at 33738%. Beyond your. Putting a lot of teams haven't seen him play a lot of the ads haven't seen him play. In in the gut check can't so we're all going to be anxious to see how that public comes a plan that appeasement unbelievably athletic put a freshman. It is still a lot to learn but but he's gonna get there and a few more minutes to. Talking to voice of the org index is Geri Allen is they get ready to play in Sacramento on Friday at 11 am against I don't know who's hopefully gonna get out there really soon because of that snowstorm on the East Coast. A lot of people pointed out I think what is pretty evident with no Boucher eight guys a little more vulnerable down. In the paint area what's a positive you take away go from the organ ducks playing against Arizona without Boucher. Well on the pocket for me what is that it looked like keywords and are gonna come to an end about midway cadets and parents are they had fallen. Organs start to get tired a man down got up fourteen point. And then that I saw some good access Lou this seems you know what were good cheese in the work opposite. The team the ones and then they cannot pick up arched back to gotta back wouldn't want. Couple of times within two and then have. Had a chance to the end so I would encourage but that they've told me that. Even without motion and it's still a pretty being coached basketball and that would they really good and teachers solitary. Yeah and in an ornament on talented they are co regular season champs of the pac twelve they Dolan is the three C but upsets always happen in the first round and you always gotta keep your eyes open for a team like I don't know what. What do the players and coaches staff saying about this first round match up. Well it's it's a match ups that probably will favor or get a little bit in that they don't allow it to a 69. Will a couple of guys to come off the bench that are not not a big scores but very athletic in operate up to faculty there were brought in transition they loved Toronto so organs gonna have been really good job getting back he essentially opt. Mrs. I even opera made baskets to he's got on court transition and a very good student three I mean Oregon station you'd like this year so the production world. Deborah athletics so this is probably a better match up. Then it would be against you know Utah our territory a couple of repeat that in the middle. Yeah we know Brooks can hit those money shots in clutch time we've seen Tyler Dorsey go off and we obviously know how skilled he is on the offensive end. Who was the wildcard for the ducks if ex player plays really well the ducks might exceed expectation in going. I deeper in the tournament than some believe without Chris Boucher. All around me I'm Obama mentioned screening interview and yeah. Pritchard need to play really well now see you gotta be a guy that can. Don't get organ maybe ten point. And you know good fibers six assists that that's his job that's what you gotta do what he does that. Everybody around him is better. Obviously they can go big be Williams. If you can if you can still some of the roles that shape and gave them. Then then that can reach huge but the guy that can sometimes yes why did not very athletic. You can gain entry got 567 rebounds and that's due of a much. And it is a school or you can flash to the basket sometimes and gives you a lot sometimes is play good defense and don't score a lot among poultry guys. They represent. The complete team and and that's what makes it tougher team to get sort of forget Brooks well it will tree guys are. In the game and play the way they can't do this is really important to climb. Yeah I ever tiger would Geri Allen voice of the organ docs and you know football's always going to be king I think especially in this neck of the woods. And then they're always gonna dominate the headlines especially coming off a year that they have but. But when you just kind of look at what Dana Altman's dumb with this program not believe this is the fifth straight year that they've made the NCAA tournament sweet sixteen run and lead it round last year a team has been ranked in the top ten. Basically all season long do you think he gets enough credit for what he's done here and in the program that he's built really into one of the elite programs in the country. All at least beginning to effort from our coaches and so people car but in all now because what he had accomplished. But I think I still think it's part of an and why is not a right word because it's it's not people are biased against the west. Is just don't see it again. I think you're more stands amid what certainly the east. And can writers and sports people got a chance to actually watch Oregon play and watched Dana coach. Then and then exceed two everybody's talking about it and it's much easier to appreciate what somebody's got beat up the next morning look here illegally in the paper your score and Italian that you are usually appreciate tactic being on the West Coast remembers the shareholder sort of used to electoral. Probably hurt some of the nor righted that they had all the Mata got. We're talking with Jerry down long time voice of the organ ducks they get ready for the NCAA tournament in Sacramento against I owned. There's there's a lot of different avenues that he you can go by did you did you notice the little set up at the NCAA committee. Has going if organizational to get past I don't I love the possible rematch again it's Altman's former team and Creighton. Yea get particularly hesitant to humor I mean. Look up. And you know it. It's probably a great thing but it really bad thing. The contain it still as a lot of affection for Creighton coach Lou there at all the posters and so he'll. If you know try to which they want to duck always did you know or libertarian and these are real so. But. UB interstate. I think it would be cool be great storyline itself. You know I'd throw anybody front sat out here privilege is set to play that. Actually we'd be rooting for you guys to beat the trailblazers because we're about an unbiased let me play last night and dug so much money. They do that in the owners to distract a lumber what's it all worked out here and there are considered just created a great scenario for Portland long term. It's yadier on this one I can have a feeling where you might go considering you are the long time voice of the ducks but. You know Boucher being out that is a big blow how far do you think this duck team can get. Well I think they can steal pick what a way coming up beyond a solid pick they treat the final four. Obviously the first trying to get dial and it is it's they play well Creighton it's not going to be easy then if they get like Creighton and they got Louisville there's a picture but look at the the people you mean it opened this year you know that there's not really. I don't want to retreat seemed there aren't aren't gonna blow to our people like organs almost seems that you treat them adjust that would shake. Okay didn't meet B play can't concern that I would like that match up so. In its dual it's still very doable even all about shape. And and it could be kind of moron Dana Altman getting his people there and and he's been greater debt shall I give organs to look for your chance. That's on four. I think that's the toughest part is it not that they it's so wide open it feels that way this year and then you lose your rim protector. I mean just an incredible season for them and then they lose one of their best players. I'm so to now stating. You can Dick could still happen if these guys play together. The way they get the second second apple apart again against terrorism like solid team. That sort of except for the fact that they are what they are now they get it. All right we'll find out on Friday they take on Iona in Sacramento 11 AM Geri Allen voice of the organ ducks kind enough to give us a few moments to talk about the organ docs in their tournament hopes. Gerri we know you're incredibly busy we appreciate you take it some time in joining us in Portland and enjoy Sacramento if you can't. I definitely go because you are talking about college sports guys thanks for having me on. Every other good stuff Gerri on voice of the organ ducks he is there I think they're at the airport right now they're about to leave so he was really kind enough to jump on for ten minutes or so and it toppled a basketball and they all got to go to work early on Friday man 11 AM tipoff it's a Wesco specific times sometimes on a three off we'll see if they're ready to play early Friday card let's talk a little organ doctor NCAA tournament basketball where do you have organ in your bracket I believe most people have the brackets filled out health party of them going and then also 55305. What's your favorite. Organ dot NCAA tournament moment Jerry's was last year than beating duke. What's your slush snow five by 305 we'll do that next on 1080 the fan. Some thoughts. You never know honestly no and man boy he never noticed it come up with a let sounds like iron and I eight in new and my IRA. Entrance music this is great entrance music. Rule. And I love that hey tomorrow and Friday I'm pretty pumped men were going to be out of four awesome that's right independent sports bar and grill in downtown their opening their doors at 8:30 AM among. Both tomorrow and Friday will be doing our show live out their prime time will be out their broadcasting does dean Campbell be roaming around drinking alcohol. Law be watching the games we'll try to do a radio show it's going to be a ton of fun come on out hang out. Full details that 1080 to pin dot com. Fan madness is brought to you by Baird O'Reilly auto parts the next U summit and the independent sports bar. And grill first came up Thursday 915 Princeton and Notre Dame. 915. Princeton Notre Dame and are normally a drop but no one tears but I turn everybody tournament I would say these are two of the more enjoyable shows of the year for me. Because he basically fly by the seat you're like you never know we get distracted easily there's all the TVs are on around you so we're watching every game law trying to do is show. I did you all is and that's what it is a bit it's easy to not get distracted during spring training baseball when you're sitting here in the studio but when you're at a bar and they have every game on. And there's fans that are reacting you're a crowd cheering in the background legal squirrel we had to do and I play by play for a couple of games written oblique hasn't come down to a game winning shot. I love doing march Randy shows man's going to be a blast just come on out tomorrow and Friday and have a drink with us hang out and we'll do our radio show and. Watch some college basketball the owners can be fun out the independent sports bar and grill. Real quick I wanted to tease coming up on crunch time you're gonna wanna stick around for this if you haven't Dillinger bracket out Cheney if in dot com and you're still looking for some more information in tidbits. Crunch times get a bead a segment for you today because we're talking with the GM of prediction machine dot com rob Zola. And if you know idea what that website is or who we is that's OK that's fine. We'll teach you let you know be on the show pressed arm but he's gonna jump on they have predicting calculator that they Yahoo!'s. And they run simulations of these games 50000. Times each. And they give you the strongest percentage chance of which teams could potentially win get the farthest except Iraq. So rob Zola the GM a prediction machine dot com is gonna join us for crunch time warranties several quake. But I ask for the break your favorite duck NCAA tournament memory. And what that is because I found that in choosing Geri Allen's been the voice that's for thirty years long time BC and all these lead Abrams and his was last year then beating duke and getting on to the elite eight to play Oklahoma of all the seasons and all the special years. Last year was his. And it's hard to be after the reasons an illicit means and to beat a program like duke and coach K and and to be given the fashion that they did have the stuff they came on after the game and it was just it was a great went through and through. I still say. For me probably the best moment will be the Freddy Jones game winner against Texas. That was. Kind of the first run that they went on with thirty can't the first time. In the elite 8% their back relevant now as a major basketball program a while and odds are loved watching that team a Freddy Jones Luke Ridnour. Lou Jackson imagined image he's got to sell love of that group and and Freddie Jones are all people remember that game that well but. I was tied 77 the they got the ball and he basically jumbled up the clock but about twenty seconds left and drove it Elaine hit kind of a finger roll. That rattled around it went in the end ultimately won 72 to seventy that to me is probably moment number one because that was the end of the shot that put him in the elite eight in back on the map. But did they do one is hard to beat his odds it's a law anyone be for me because of the program that the UK is CIA I I get that I do. I don't know. I have I it's it's tough because they went to lead a beating duke it genuinely date that's the first they've been since they won that title all those years ago. That's great. But I didn't and duke was that good last year Null. So even though you beat a team in name recognition that's all as it was a name recognition and the coach I would still put the taxes came in a goal little outset I'll go to one Porter going off on UNLV game. I remember that game vividly I was at work and I didn't work I watched the whole game because I didn't I I was wondering can UNLV beat or again. You know I need to want Porter because I followed college basketball that year. And any time that dude hit like his first three he was in he's locked in the rest the game you can stop them no matter how tall you are. And he was locked in for that one and still so fun to watch all he claiming an eye on it might happen is when I'm 33 points or not mistaken and they beat UNLV went the elite eight. And to be fair they actually played for a pretty tough that was your Florida won the national championship if I if I'm Democrat reporter after a bad shooting started he got hot late in neighbor down I think he carried him back in the ball game but he didn't have a great shooting for now suddenly fell down too much to a team that that was the ultimate national champs so even though YE just as as a hoops fan I really enjoyed this the Luke's in the Freddie team. And last year's team was it was pretty good is a one seed. I'd have to go you pick a favorite moment like that toy importer team was probably the most fun to me just because. To want Porter luckiest if you Salma pursing ego that guy's five form and may be wave is tiny Manny Manny it didn't matter at all he I always ask those shots I classes with him while. Around campus and to act of great that's to Guam Puerto Dirks towering over Tony Awards on towering over a dominant NCAA basketball player and all of a sudden short jokes didn't seem so funny 'cause I can give it to wan port. That's it was a lot of fun to watch it was such an explosive back Porter Brooks and and swamp or right. There's just there's a real I don't it's even sunk in for me yet because determine has started. The gut punch that the Boucher injury is that did this team to me going into did the pactel tournament has had good chances anybody at winning a national title maybe you weren't gonna pick on. But he time the conversation came up with teams that legitimately could one at all you had to include organ in that conversation. And have a gut punch like that. 48 hours before the bracket comes out a week before the tournament starts. It's one thing maybe early in the year if it goes down and you can kind of get used to watching the team throughout the season in. They can learn how to play without a piece like that needs our baby usually without an beat Arizona without him maybe gives you a little more hole. Man did you have a team that's been so close admitted to the elite eight last had a bit of the conversation all year and you lose a guy like that ripe for the tournament. It says that the latest in a long list of gut punches to international truck title chance. Ivy they have Boucher they do beat Arizona and Arizona to me is is a risky play I have in my final four right now but they're risking their young. They have these moments of lapses kind of like the ducks do I think they win the pactel titles they have Boucher for that game. I'll say is ever that if he was healthy. I probably honestly would have picked or any go to the final four like a bump on my bracket and are right now I have them losing in the sweet sixteen. Louisville they can be legal but they have to really be on their a game and I just not sure that's gonna happen and the the loss of Boucher is bigger. Then even more talking about so to me I think they're going into the sweet sixteen in fall and stuff if he plays golf. I think I have them probably my final form my brag. Guess fate as they lose Arizona and then that same region I mean I'd I'd know I'd love home against Loy love her chances against Kansas down the road enthusiasts at that point. I'm so gonna pick a normal thing. They did is I just have to their top three seed if they end of the home one of those runs and I didn't Brigham. I feel like a terrible fan and a terrible long knives on a date on when the whole thing but it's not a confident national champion pay some recent gut punch or a little lower. Agree to go lower little lower on the Allan did you know wide open it is are we got a lot to get silly coming up next. They always say if you win NFL free agency it means nothing I think there's one team that would beg to differ because they're winning in a full free agency. And they just won the whole thing we'll talk about that neck and Ali. They come up at ten minutes to rob his solo prediction machine's gonna join us. This really determine the Italian. He's got it all figured out it's amazing what they do and how many times they run these games with the simulations they got it all figured out man so I tell you the strategy and I give us sleepers to make the final for his us and guerrillas doubled digit seeds all that stuff coming up. I'd ten minutes are also at some point the final hour we might have to do a segment trying to find one of our co workers date. The whole thing right out of the year without amid the whole thing any office in and we tweeted to now we got a couple of a couple of bids so far actors spray on Twitter. She's willing participant. I think she'd be okay within make sure good I think she was based on her interactions with us on this topic I'm she would be OK with it yesterday ruled it's that final hour we need to do some screening okay oh yeah not just any slack he's gonna take her out we -- that react when did you light a match game kind of thing bring her on for a segments and -- ever tell us about tell the audience about herself a kind of thing you know you can't absolutely a lot of time to fill in the -- months. It was into the NF LQ so Mott NFL music pork Bork. Yeah there it is yeah. Hey it was of that awkward silence and you've got up you guys they give me a show sheet today so I've no idea what we're doing Avalon and I don't know music and show she can't act act. And coming in the reason I don't know isn't an NFL quotes they demand and I felt that a guy Alan I give you that one they you know who's winning the off season so far this year. The team that's not gonna win next year a hoodie. That's a team that won the Super Bowl DMX. He missed it today Donta hightower announced he is going to return to the New England Patriots agreed to a four year 43 and a half million dollar deal. There is rumors he was gonna go also wearing his visiting other markets not so fast he needs ninety million guaranteed and money. And the best defense of players who turns the New England Patriots I do I think this is and a good message of there's no doubt that teams that attack free agency and spend all this money. Tend to not do well and I knowledgeable may be just a one off exit I'm looking at the dolphins right now when I'm thinking about stuff like that. New England won the offseason it's not even close to me. And this may have been arguably their biggest pick up. Yeah I think they're gonna DOT's. Here this is an important part a free agency if you don't spend a ton of money. People make funny you lived of course to spend time money it's gonna mean nothing. I think it's always about where the money you're spending is going and for some teams they put the wrong areas. Denver did disappears back when they won the title they put it in the right areas New England this year. This was a huge huge pick up for an already great off season for them yet visited the Steelers and the jets the jets' offer him a contract on Monday but they withdrew it after. He left the facility I didn't sign it we resize the patriots tied to our backs the pats 43 and a half million dollar deal. Over four years this just tendencies toward the entire town about it. The Darrelle Revis remember he got his some legal trouble recently. And little altercation in Pittsburgh back in February apple today all the charges against a row Revis. We're dismissed. And now questions. Arise again about what is teachers in the NFL yeah I saw a thing that is his spike is old school buddy. Testified in on the stand said the boy shoot here in the tape is Darrelle Revis. And so I saw that -- I go all this is not good for Darrelle Revis is again our time identifying is that Terrelle. And then they announced that the twin the on Twitter they announced that the judges dismissed all. All charges and all your dressing you're out of here you're out of here and it's interesting because that's story if you read the reports on that. It really seem like he was can it be any huge pickle. And today they basically just shrug it doesn't now there's nothing to see here you're not involved in this you're dismissed from everything and get this he dropped eight I'd love to play in Pittsburgh line in corporate. He's lobbying it's a free agent pool Syria ends up casinos somebody's gonna Cyanamid displayed why he's not and I was released by the jets last month that all charges dropped one other NFL known at a today I chuckled when I saw this up. You need to tap before Eddie lacy is part of his contract with the Seahawks. Includes a 385000. Dollar bonus. That's tied to his weight room do you wanna be NFL player you wanna eat. It's big we make jokes about it but in all seriousness. A lot of mental struggle with this and shame that this is going to be on him if he drops to 240 Pete Carroll is gonna be okay with that. If he stays at 26077. The I mean I'm sorry bud. In yourself out of the NFL it's that simple the Seahawks lemon the team forties apparently you wait to 67 and one of his free agent visits there's no tell the NFL high dollar back to the patriots charges dropped against a row Revis and Eddie lacy is going to be. Paid. To be in shape in his NFL player. I they still haven't filled out your bracket yet but only one more segment because rob pulls a prediction machine dot com is gonna join us and he's got the formula. To figure out what higher seeds are gonna go on Iran what sleeper teams got to make the final four who's gonna win the whole thing rob pulls an accent Kennedy the fan pressure is on. Just what's the difference. In the past masters execute in crunch time English prelim heat. When you win this event is coming all the when you lose it's the lowest and I. World its current stutter move a look at the hottest topics in sports writer do you mind crunch could. Is 995 per month or so why would you ever pay more for a gym membership. They Crenshaw I brought you back crunch fitness always now 95 months so why would you ever pay more for a gym membership I'll be out this afternoon my trainer Scott. It glorious house of gains of really set for our next guest. It's gonna come ought to talk about the NCAA tournament his name is rob his soul of prediction machine dot com he could follow on Twitter at rob Zola. Also app prediction machine on 23 joins us and Gil mortgage. Mobile hotline rob thanks so much for the time member all jacked up for the NCAA tournaments and I'd just kind of just to start the interview I wanna start with. How the prediction machine works and how you guys come to. The analysis of the sleeper teams in the final four teams how does that all come together. Yes so it took everything out east peace process very analytical and basically what we do you think a variety of input. Things that are obviously important outcome of the college basketball whether B authentication. He would eat at division the it free throws three pointers turnovers all I know everything you can think of that back into college basketball game and we run a simulation that we stimulate each game and asserted. 50000 either that allows us to look a right that probability is of counsel we could tell the probability of one teen beating another the probability of that and attempting to specific point in the current and the probability of each team winning the service so again. It's a very numerical. Data that rate then system that we use in its and in that note been very successful system brought in the past. One I've been really fascinated with the website. Since I had a buddy tell me about that Robin that's why we wanted to get join us talk about this. I'm you talk weather 50000 simulations with the each game in the tournament except Iraq. A lot of people is speaking about this tournament being as wide open is ever do the numbers kind of convey that that this term it's pretty wide open more than we've seen the past. And note to me simulated thirteen tournaments right now and this falls somewhere right in the middle. And be wide open. And Howard not being wide open top heavy this isn't like two years ago obviously work Kentucky. You have 44% chance to win the turn and there was everyone else we do not that drop off this year. We continue what we call a big night this year. Nineteen that I have approximately 5% chance to win the turn it on more and then there's a significant drop off after those nine years. So there's a little bit of a drop off there are not quite all the in the middle range but in terms of the old nineteen I think any of those. As a realistic possibility. And it you know it not that no other and the possibility of winning that the national championship it's just that the percentages. Lower a little bit more improbable. And we're Tyler rob Zoller is the GM a prediction machine dot com app rob. There's all on sort of a you mentioned those nine teams with a 5% chance or higher will what are the tablets into the top I'm sure they're gonna be obvious answers but. Any non obvious answer is a teams that are showing up with the greatest chances to win the national title. Yet all the the ones and the twos are they're very good he. You all across the board of Middle East you do not really how is significant weakness and the thing that let significant weakness is really only. One major weakness that they capsule the one thing to you all have at least a 5% chance the other thing that were. Looking back as they. Eighteen that could potentially use in damages West Virginia West Virginia the foreseeable less that the same region was conducted Arizona West Virginia the very underrated unit here. They're very good defensively I think what a lot of these. People watch college basketball league and the focus on offense that would immediately sent those to a lot of people can that it shouldn't you better be cut off that. The Pentagon realizes the little things that happened on defense. And West Virginia very good in terms of limiting opponents to back shock rebounding well. Forcing turnovers to certain that the deputies advantages of foresees an obvious yet we get eat. Deeper into the turn and historical look. Keep that early. That's higher than that. And then you went to succeed unfortunately for them after that we really like but certainly very very typical east region. Which apple Villanova and duke we consider to be the best teams in college basketball. And Jennifer going even further than. We could top eight is eight and he's an accident scenes people Wichita State they are very good basketball team there in the south and they're gonna have a typical hack. They get the final or. But that the team again with no conceivable weaknesses yes they played and each dead wolf this here but they are very balanced you don't do anything really poorly and they're very well coached as well. Local Wichita State they could potentially do some damage even hesitate. Well a lot of people obviously going to be serious about the midwest region where organ is with Kansas is the one seed and little as the two seed. Is that how's that region stack up against some of these others and simulations where organ may end up. Yeah so we believe that and this is the worst number one seed in the permit that he wouldn't even happen at the number one seed we think at 38 best team in the country. I talked earlier about how quote the talking. They're pretty balanced don't really have a considerable weakness. And it does very very bad free throw shooting team one of the work free throw shooting team in the nation. And when you by the NCAA tournament airplane all the could indicate each other. You can have a lot of holes being so that is something that like the JR you know date they're gonna have to shoot a lot of free throws down the stretch and traditionally they're very poor at that. Or it wouldn't have had a better chance at a lot not blockers who Jake in the packed alternative. Or at least yellow obviously that's huge for that. We actually do our part and Alex had a play your levels a week. Can remove him from the equation and tell you exactly what you. You work this or give you these were provoked two point nine points per game either at great risk protector that is a big law for that without really hurt that we. With that being said. The path set up favorably to get the sweet sixteen. Rhode Island and Creighton. This obviously we have idle thought we'd have to be. Did in the first round yeah but 93% chance of winning that game create business succeed in the region and create an overrated as a succeed in fact we have tending to Rhode Island in the first round that would set up were again at the island in the round of 32 I do networking should win comfortably as well so we you have ordered progressing rather quickly the promise when he can get people who. Louisville and most of our simulation we do think that these underdogs we'll. And more often than not they've been in the sweet sixteen. How about that rob does solo GM prediction machine dot com is our guest column on Twitter. At rob Zola you don't win we always love watching these these Cinderella teams these underdogs come out of nowhere and win. I'm we always try to come up with a theory of why they're gonna land and figure out who's it gonna be this year's so. What do team's tenth seed or higher and you mention which dusty imminent or two ago but. It tends seeds or higher that that everybody should gather Ryan and as the bracket buster of this year's tournament. Yeah Al hunt on what you puppy just one more I've really quick because that I want people realize how good that he did but they're the ten feet and they're favored by six points over the seven. Which is big. Now in the round of thirty can be might end up playing Kentucky. But it that he could talk a little baby's favorite Bible one and a half points over Wichita State ought to neutral court so this is a very good talkers you. You can't dismiss that I think if you're looking for some sort of at the contrary it bracket that you want to consider and act in going east also in the south. Middle Tennessee is a twelve seed you know everybody's going to look at that well vs five match up your than your route. President and cannot pay attention to friends because friends are really predictive but we do look at this and accept producing a middle Tennessee team. That could upset Minnesota Minnesota looked very overrated five in probably should've been an eight or nine feet in this tournament. To get middle Tennessee winning that game over 53% of the time. And should they advance these face another overrated team in Butler Butler. In the big east. They have an 89% chance to win their first game but they don't that you could give them some problems as well and we do that middle Tennessee going to the sweet sixteen in over 21% of our city stimulation. Well rob it's really interesting looking over some of these numbers because I was looking over you know most likely in each freezing gives you guys lay this out on the website which is fantastic. You know you got one you Cedras Virginia final four sleeper 22 point 4%. Who is the team when you do this simulation wins the tournament the most. Yeah. Don't listen right now the most complete college basketball in our opinion when you look at their patients metric that we obviously it just efficiency for strength of schedule. And that's the reason why the little we get the boot over Gonzaga conduct of the period at this as well. But he played a very scheduled it here billable. Look like upper game and what we do it just respect the schedule will. Arc of efficiency expert from Villanova happened pocket being in both offense and defense so this is the very complete you know weakness. And it hit yet that you have the toughest region that you sit by far the toughest region this year a lot of teams under receded and there. Virginia could have been seeded higher at that you like touched on could've been viewed higher. Do you get the bat when the terminator out region. In the proper app for that we still expect them to get the final the most of any team in college basketball we expect in the wind just over 90% of the. You guys get a lot of hate mail for people to use these picks for guiding purposes. To study carrion said he. Mean he when you're getting ill. Yes yeah. You know what what your make it exciting games no one want to cry you when you get things right but you love. You know they love to pick on you when you get things wrong yeah. Will they be stimulated their internment at forest and we put enough that it yet again. I've bracket cooking time twelve to twelve out of thirteen times we did in the ninetieth percentile or higher orbit so that he'd been historically very good. You know obviously we're well we're sitting like we put on outcomes are not telling you with any degree of certain. But Villanova in the wit in fact I'm telling you they have been 19% chance of winning attitude that. Four out of every five tournaments they're not gonna win and we're gonna have our state and we're gonna protect the wrong winner but that typically probability work that we're trying to beat you know. They give people an anxious protecting their bracket and given the exact numbers the probability of an open was rather than seeing things with any degree of certainty. Now you're so right people love to complain when you screw on the with your right they don't say anything no thank you or any ethics you have to write on that. I had a big ran about Vanderbilt they made this tournament their four games above 500 I don't understand how that happens who is the worst teams this mathematically in this tournament. Yet so we can actually look at the play any game tonight that US is the team that we just steal did not deserve to be put in that field and you know there are two and a half point favorite against Providence tonight which is very surprising not is welcome to get offices being a better eat but USC would definitely be back yet again you know look at. Actually went making any weaknesses and I think Syracuse had a legitimate gripe because of not getting into the turn an Illinois State as well that happens it I hear. I think with Syracuse obviously the fact that they only won two games away from all of your attended the record that the little bit as well but you always. It until record is very misleading you always happen help restrict the schedule some of these things yet they have a lot more games this year but. But people who played a much tougher schedule that after an equation as well so. When we look at everything US uses that doesn't deserve to be in the field and look at a hospital Virginia earlier but I can be worked one to attend this year they had double digit losses but he played have been. In seemingly good schedule pocket schedule they were very efficient and as a result. Shouldn't be thought strictly on wins and losses put the entire picture need to be looked. Great stuff rob the Zola is his name GM prediction machine dot com where you find his work. At rob Zola on Twitter also at prediction machine. Onto to rob thanks so much of the time out of your listeners enjoyed it's and I know have a new bracket to fill out and I appreciate the advice ma'am. All right guys and put it this week. Eagle rob there's only GM a prediction machine dot com. Oh absolutely yeah I have West Virginia going on around that back them that all I feel vindicated in that particular that was a little thing not that the guaranteed to win by our measure Blake that was the nozzles wag is like in Zack a Mike Dixon before but I do can't overlook West Virginia they're they're remarkably good team of what I argue their case for them this year yet. Huggins knows what he's doing their dispute many long offensive droughts for me to pick him to go deep. West Virginia does yes. They will go 5678 minutes without feel Gholston. Well we'll see a good thing it doesn't trust in those things you think it has not Brown's turn. I like those good stuff man like rod guy I load without even number crunch slap back to give you the odds for these teams because that's about as close she gonna get to run HR 50000 for every game the entire tournament. Yeah thirteen or twelve of the thirteen bracket descended down on ESP and they get men in the 90% ninety percentile could separate press time rescue by crunch fitness always not 95 a month so why would you ever pay more. For gym membership to find out more power spray and hammer out at crunch dark comic lots to get to the final hour of the show today we'll get back in the Portland trailblazers as they lady lake last night down in New Orleans exit on the spurs tonight. I'm down in San Antonio L a will revisit the whole tank or noting conversation heritage as the fever. Worn off a little bit we got to get or sadder story on coming up at 215 it is a Wednesday we'll talk a little bit more. About the NCAA tournament which officially tips off tomorrow and they're remaking a classic movie. Which has assassin a question. Why she's weighs one final out upload a murder rate on 1080 the fan.